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Danh mục các trang web:
http://fia.mpi.gov.vn/
http://finance.vietstock.vn
PHỤ LỤC
Ký hiệu các biến trong mô hình hồi quy:
DONBAY: Đòn bẩy
QUYMO: Quy mô
TUOI: Thời gian hoạt động
SOHUU: Biến giả cơ cấu sở hữu
TSHH: Giá trị tài sản có thể thế chấp
RRKD: Rủi ro kinh doanh
ROA : Khả năng sinh lợi
NDTS: Lá chắn thuế phi nợ
CHTT: Cơ hội tăng trưởng
NUOCNGOAI: Sự hiện diện của nước ngoài (đo lường bằng tỷ lệ tài sản)
NUOCNGOAI1: Sự hiện diện của nước ngoài (đo lường bằng tỷ lệ số lượng công ty)
QUYMO1: Quy mô ( đo lường bằng số lượng nhân viên)
Bảng 1: Thống kê mô tả cho toàn bộ mẫu
Date: 10/18/15 Time:
12:25
Sample: 2005 2014
DONBAY
QUYMO
TUOI
SOHUU
TSHH
RRKD
ROA
NDTS
CHTT
NUOCNGOAI
Mean
Median
Maximum
Minimum
Std. Dev.
Skewness
Kurtosis
0.079524
0.031711
0.654757
0.000000
0.115076
2.153232
7.889689
26.31149
26.18358
30.21987
23.16620
1.357829
0.259353
2.581603
23.22027
18.00000
65.00000
1.000000
15.15952
0.728740
2.427223
0.782160
1.000000
1.000000
0.000000
0.412903
-1.367128
2.869040
0.239647
0.197402
0.829561
0.005174
0.167895
1.122346
3.899117
0.059457
0.044347
0.295160
0.005727
0.045683
1.967497
8.092868
0.061160
0.053678
0.488382
-0.746363
0.091457
-1.319306
15.31719
0.039429
0.032459
0.531294
0.000149
0.032206
4.200250
45.35906
0.223681
0.101972
39.26577
-0.783820
1.051896
31.30082
1153.705
0.318251
0.281175
0.876224
0.000000
0.216533
0.196031
1.955812
Jarque-Bera
Probability
2915.222
0.000000
30.49567
0.000000
168.3925
0.000000
514.5406
0.000000
401.4975
0.000000
2844.274
0.000000
10895.72
0.000000
128053.6
0.000000
91192076
0.000000
85.42424
0.000000
Sum
Sum Sq. Dev.
131.0557
21.81028
43361.33
3036.573
38267.00
378499.0
1289.000
280.7955
394.9384
46.42695
97.98496
3.437118
100.7920
13.77606
64.97940
1.708338
368.6268
1822.381
524.4780
77.22183
Observations
1648
1648
1648
1648
1648
1648
1648
1648
1648
1648
Bảng 2: Ma trận tƣơng quan của các biến (nhóm ngành Công nghiệp sản xuất)
QUYMO
TUOI
SOHUU
TSHH
RRKD
ROA
NDTS
CHTT
NUOCNGOAI
QUYMO
TUOI
SOHUU
TSHH
RRKD
ROA
NDTS
CHTT
NUOCNGOAI
1.000000
0.019653
-0.077669
-0.099793
-0.171892
-0.145229
-0.269798
0.070001
0.154588
0.019653
1.000000
-0.165960
0.048887
-0.050466
0.053124
0.091904
-0.054308
0.035230
-0.077669
-0.165960
1.000000
-0.131918
0.100617
-0.071160
-0.136191
-0.009433
0.143858
-0.099793
0.048887
-0.131918
1.000000
0.021362
-0.062075
0.490758
-0.012023
-0.009663
-0.171892
-0.050466
0.100617
0.021362
1.000000
-0.155655
-0.032777
-0.032989
0.008674
-0.145229
0.053124
-0.071160
-0.062075
-0.155655
1.000000
0.153426
0.071574
0.015764
-0.269798
0.091904
-0.136191
0.490758
-0.032777
0.153426
1.000000
-0.041525
-0.033596
0.070001
-0.054308
-0.009433
-0.012023
-0.032989
0.071574
-0.041525
1.000000
-0.004970
0.154588
0.035230
0.143858
-0.009663
0.008674
0.015764
-0.033596
-0.004970
1.000000
Bảng 3.1: Kết quả kiểm định ngành Công nghiệp sản xuất - Ƣớc lƣợng OLS
Dependent Variable: DONBAY
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 10/21/15 Time: 22:39
Sample: 2005 2014
Periods included: 10
Cross-sections included: 196
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 1648
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
QUYMO
TUOI
SOHUU
TSHH
RRKD
ROA
NDTS
CHTT
NUOCNGOAI
-0.445122
0.018225
0.000526
0.004678
0.290028
-0.202039
-0.187958
-0.260429
0.004760
-0.023764
0.054862
0.001991
0.000166
0.006287
0.017175
0.056140
0.028473
0.093350
0.002368
0.011740
-8.113445
9.151612
3.163461
0.744142
16.88621
-3.598827
-6.601231
-2.789818
2.010704
-2.024119
0.0000
0.0000
0.0016
0.4569
0.0000
0.0003
0.0000
0.0053
0.0445
0.0431
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
0.245956
0.241813
0.100201
16.44591
1457.956
59.36533
0.000000
Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat
0.079524
0.115076
-1.757228
-1.724417
-1.745062
0.699207
Bảng 3.2: Kết quả kiểm định ngành Công nghiệp sản xuất - Ƣớc lƣợng Tobit
Dependent Variable: DONBAY
Method: ML - Censored Normal (TOBIT) (Quadratic hill climbing)
Date: 10/21/15 Time: 22:38
Sample: 2005 2014
Included observations: 1648
Left censoring (value) series: 0
Right censoring (value) series: 1
Convergence achieved after 4 iterations
QML (Huber/White) standard errors & covariance
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
z-Statistic
Prob.
C
QUYMO
TUOI
SOHUU
TSHH
RRKD
ROA
NDTS
CHTT
NUOCNGOAI
-0.536986
0.021322
0.000561
0.003028
0.308947
-0.214143
-0.190272
-0.277813
0.005531
-0.024622
0.067527
0.002526
0.000194
0.006656
0.021851
0.051010
0.034113
0.092671
0.004885
0.012379
-7.952126
8.440237
2.887615
0.454864
14.13858
-4.198024
-5.577767
-2.997831
1.132315
-1.988982
0.0000
0.0000
0.0039
0.6492
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0027
0.2575
0.0467
0.003711
29.02539
0.0000
Error Distribution
SCALE:C(11)
Mean dependent var
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
Avg. log likelihood
Left censored obs
Uncensored obs
0.107709
0.079524
0.100170
16.42574
1039.432
0.630724
178
1470
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Right censored obs
Total obs
0.115076
-1.248097
-1.212005
-1.234715
0
1648